FI-Sim | Transaction Banking

Head of GTS / COO View | Q1 2026 | As-of 2026-03-27 Home
Operating Deposits
$350B
Class 1-2 Operational: $220B (63%)
Payment Volume
285K
txns/day | 5 corridors
Trade Book
$85B
LC $25B | Guar $20B | SCF $15B
Fee Income
$4.2B
/yr | +6% YoY
NII (Deposits)
$3.8B
/yr | weighted beta 0.18
Network Value
$2.1B
120 correspondents | 45 corridors
Deposit Franchise Composition
ClassBalance ($B)LCR OutflowBetaNII ($B/yr)
Class 1 Operational (clearing)12025%0.051.80
Class 2 Operational (cash mgmt)10025%0.101.20
Class 3 Non-operational8040%0.350.60
Class 4 FI Unstable50100%0.600.20
Total35038% wtd0.18 wtd3.80
Key: 63% of deposits are operational (Class 1-2), with weighted LCR outflow 25% and blended beta 0.07. These are among the stickiest, lowest-cost liabilities on the balance sheet. Class 4 FI unstable ($50B) is the primary run-risk pocket.
Payment Corridors
CorridorVol/dayFee ($M/yr)STPCost ($M/yr)
Domestic low-value180K45099%120
Domestic RTGS5K38098%85
Cross-border G1012K92092%280
Cross-border EM8K1,15078%450
On-us / internal80K12099.9%30
Total285K3,02093% wtd965
Margin: Cross-border EM is the highest-margin corridor ($1,150M fee on 8K vol/day) but also highest cost ($450M) with lowest STP (78%). Automation investment has highest payoff here.
Trade Finance Portfolio
InstrumentO/S ($B)CCFRev ($M/yr)EL (bps)
Documentary LC2520%2808
Standby LC / Guarantee2050%32012
Financial Guarantee5100%15015
Supply Chain Finance1540%2106
Receivables Finance1075%18010
Other1050%1208
Total8543% wtd1,2609 wtd
Benchmark: Aggregate EL of 9bps is within the ICC Trade Register range (5-15bps). SCF at 6bps is the lowest-risk, highest-growth segment. Financial guarantees (15bps) warrant individual name monitoring.
Securities Services
MetricValueNote
Assets under Custody$2.5TGlobal programme
Equities$1,000B (40%)DM + EM listed
Fixed Income$875B (35%)Govt + IG credit
Alternatives$375B (15%)PE, RE, Infra, HF
Other$250B (10%)Cash, FX, MMF
Custody Revenue$850M/yr~3.4bps blended
Settlement Fail Rate0.8%Target <1.0%
OpRisk Charge$12M/yrBIA methodology
Scale economics: At $2.5T AuC, blended fee of 3.4bps is competitive with BNY ($47T, ~2.5bps) and State Street ($42T, ~2.8bps). Alternatives (15% of AuC) generate ~40% of fee margin.
Correspondent Banking Network
AttributeValue
Respondent Banks120
Currency Corridors45
Clearing Memberships8 (USD, EUR, GBP, JPY, CHF, HKD, SGD, AUD)
Network Value (Metcalfe)$2.1B
De-risking Probability2.3% wtd avg
Nostro Balances$18B optimised
AML/KYC Refresh Cycle12 months
ISO 20022 Adoption68% of corridors
Network moat: Metcalfe-type value ($2.1B) scales as ~N*log(N) with respondent count. Each clearing membership unlocks 5-8 corridor pairs. De-risking risk concentrated in 3 EM corridors (weighted 8.2% vs 2.3% portfolio average).
Client RAROC Heatmap — Top 15
#ClientSegmentWallet ($M)RAROCStatus
Action: 3 clients below 13% hurdle rate flagged for repricing. Aggregate wallet at risk: $78M. Cross-selling securities services to sub-hurdle payment clients lifts RAROC by 200-400bps on average.
Portfolio Optimisation Signal

Binding Constraint: Operational Capacity (85% utilised)

Shadow prices indicate operations capacity is the tightest constraint at $0.15/unit, exceeding balance sheet $0.12/unit and capital $0.08/unit.

This means an incremental unit of ops capacity generates more marginal revenue than an equivalent unit of balance sheet or capital. Investment priority should flow to automation and STP uplift.

Recommendation

1. Grow cross-border EM corridor — +$2B capacity release via STP automation (78% → 90% target). Unlocks ~$180M incremental fee income.
2. Reprice 3 sub-hurdle clients — aggregate wallet $78M, target RAROC 13%+ or managed exit.
3. Expand SCF programme — lowest EL (6bps), highest client stickiness, +$5B addressable within existing credit appetite.